Showing posts with label Forecast.. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forecast.. Show all posts

Monday, July 15, 2013

Worldwide IT Spending 2013 -2014 Gartner reduced due to currency fluctuations & PC Sales

Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $3.7 trillion in 2013 including Telecom Services, a 2 percent increase from 2012 spending of $3.6 trillion, which is half of what Gartner forecasted earlier at the beginning of 2013 in first quarter in U.S. dollars was 4.1 percent. The 2.1 percentage point reduction was forced due to the recent fluctuations in U.S. dollar exchange rates; growth in constant currency is forecast at 3.5 percent for 2013, down only slightly from last quarter. With the Indian rupee falling to record lows, from Rs 54 at the beginning of 2013, it touched Rs 60 against the US dollar Indian companies have reduce their IT budgets as most of the Software, Hardware and Services are imported and are paid for in US dollars. Most of the emerging market currencies have depreciated significantly against dollar which forced Gartner to reduce the IT spending for 2013. Excluding the Telecom services the Global IT Spending is estimated to reach $ 2.068 trillion in 2013 and $ 2.181 trillion in 2014. Apart from the currency fluctuations, the big decline in the forecasting of devices led to significant fall in growth and the forecast for spending on devices in 2013 has been revised down from 7.9 percent growth in Gartner's previous forecast to 2.8 percent.

Within the devices segment majority of the decline is in PC sales, which was highlighted both in the first quarter and second quarters of 2013, with little recovery expected during the second half of 2013. Personal computer sales is hit hard by both the Tablets and the smartphones both at the high end and mid end and both tablets and smartphones are offering equivalent computing power that is offered by a laptop or desktop and customers are using these mobile devices more to browse internet, access email and Social networking sites through mobile devices. While new personal computers particularly laptops that are sleek in design and with touch screen capabilities are expected to be launched in the second half of 2013, they will fail to gain market share due to the underlying weakness of the traditional PC market.


Tablets and Smartphones are expected to keep up the growth rates as highlighted by the outlook for tablet revenue for 2013 is 38.9 percent growth, while mobile phone revenue is projected to increase by 9.3 percent. Enterprise software spending is on pace to grow 6.4 percent in 2013 within which growth forecast for customer relationship management (CRM) have been raised as its adoption expanded coverage into e-commerce, social and mobile. Expectations for digital content creation and operating systems have been reduced as software as a service (SaaS) and changing device demands impact traditional models and markets. Overall both the macroeconomic volatility and changes in the technology trends are impacting the IT spend in 2013 and expected to have significant impact in 2014 too.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Global SaaS, PaaS, IaaS and BPaaS Market 2011 and Forecast


Cloud computing includes Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) and Business Process as a Service (BPaaS). SaaS is the highest level of the cloud and includes actual cloud applications. SaaS segment is the largest segment in the overall Cloud Computing Market. Customer relationship management (CRM), Content, communications and collaboration (CCC) market and Enterprise resource planning (ERP) revenue are the key sub segments respectively. North America, followed by Europe is the key markets for SaaS. Asia Pacific and Latin America are key growth markets too. Adoption is being driven by availability of on demand software, understanding of the model, increasing interest and pressure on IT managers to reduce costs. Data security concerns, outages, lack of understanding of the cloud and infrastructure, and integration with existing infrastructure are concerns. According to Gartner SaaS market is expected to reach $ 21.5 billion in 2015 from $12.1 billion in 2011. IDC estimates it to reach $ 40.5billion in 2014 from $ 21.8 billion in 2011 and Forrester estimates it to reach $78.4 billion from $21.2 billion in 2011. Google, Citrix, Salesforce.com, NetSuite are key players.







PaaS is the middle level and builds upon the IaaS layer and provides an application development platform for the cloud. Gartner says, PaaS products primarily supported application server capability, but the market has expanded to other middleware capabilities as a service, such as integration, process management, and portal and managed file transfers (MFTs). Gartner analysts said PaaS offerings are likely to expand the application integration and middleware (AIM) market by bringing in a new range of organizations that otherwise would have been packaged application and office software users. Vendors in this space include Windows Azure, Heroku and SalesForce’s Force.com. Salesforce.com has the most mature PaaS. According to Gartner PaaS market is expected to reach $ 1.8 billion in 2015 from $707.4 million in 2011. Forester estimates it to reach $9.8 billion in 2015 from $820 million in 2011.


IaaS is the lowest level of the cloud technology stack. It provides operating system support, storage and processing. Vendors in this sector include Google App Engine and of course Amazon’s (news,site) latest whipping boy AWS EC2. Infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) will shift from public clouds to virtual private clouds, Forrester Research projects. While adoption remains high, the size of the market will shrink and public cloud services will cost less in the future because the cost of inputs will continue to decline. According to Gartner IaaS market is expected to reach $ 22 billion in 2015 from $5.6 billion in 2011. IDC estimates it to reach $ 15 billion in 2014 from $ 3.4 billion in 2011 and Forrester estimates it to reach $78.4 billion from $21.2 billion in 2011.

BPaaS is even higher up than SaaS and it includes technology, people, process and smart analytics wrapped in a simple "pay-as-you-go" commercial model. It allows companies to minimize or eliminate substantial upfront costs.  BPO outsourcing providers such as India, China and Latin America will likely make a play in this area. Traditional BPO providers are setting up data centers to offer cloud computing services to their clients and Cloud computing inclusive of BPaaS provides a big opportunity for service providers. According to Gartner BPaaS market is expected to reach $ 133.5 billion in 2015 from $71.7 billion in 2011. Forester estimates it to reach $3 billion in 2015 from $530 million in 2011.